What happens when rain doesn’t reach the ground?
You look up at a cloud above and notice wispy streaks descending below
the cloud base, but no rain ever hits your head! What you are witnessing is
what meteorologists call "virga". Virga is a name given to
precipitating rain or ice that evaporate during the downward journey becoming
water vapor before reaching the ground. Other unique names for the phenomenon
are “Fallstreifen”, “fallstreaks”, “precipitation trails”, and even “jelly fish
clouds”!
Besides being a popular photogenic cloud, especially during times of
sunset or sunrise, there are a few forecasting considerations to note when
seeing virga. Fundamentally, weather prediction relies on accounting for fluxes
of energy transfer throughout the atmosphere. Water molecules forced to cycle
through different phase changes upon mixing with a spectrum of environmental moisture
content and temperatures is a key player in that regard!
During times of active virga, as liquid droplets (and ice crystals if
present) are transformed back to gaseous water vapor state the evaporative
cooling effect occurring through the layer of falling virga will alter the
vertical temperature profile below the cloud.
At the times the cooling effect can reach the ground! Similar to the mechanisms
allowing dry thunderstorm microburst winds, excessive and widespread virga
showers have the potential to generate gustier winds at the surface when
chilled air below the cloud loses buoyancy and is forced to drop altitude.
Visually, the wispy streaks may be confined to a part of the sky, but weather
modification beyond the immediate cloud is possible with cool sinking air! Even
if gustier winds don’t reach the ground the localized fluctuations in vertical
air mass buoyancy become important for aviation turbulence awareness.
Additionally, over a period time, a persistent episode of virga would gradually
extend the depth of precipitation surviving below the cloud. Essentially, the
sacrifice of initial precipitation to evaporation increases humidity (water
vapor content), which makes it easier for ongoing precipitation to penetrate
lower towards to the surface. Under this scenario, an eventual transition to
rain/snow at the surface during a long-duration virga event is possible favoring
mountainous terrain first, while being delayed for the surrounding lower
valleys.
Furthermore, increasing coverage of virga, especially from cumulus clouds, may
be a sign that a larger scale weather pattern shift is underway with a trend
for deeper moisture and greater instability. For instance, should clear skies
one day quickly turn virga filled the next, a regional uptick in shower and
thunderstorm activity may be imminent!
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